Ireland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CSK
7 - 1
IRL
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
IRL
1 - 3
CSK
49%
22%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
IRL
0 - 3
SCO
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
SCO
4 - 1
IRL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
IRL
3 - 1
NOR
63%
17%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
ENG
3 - 1
AUT
80%
12%
9%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1962 |
EGY
1 - 0
AUT
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 1
AUT
70%
16%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
AUT
2 - 1
HUN
27%
20%
53%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SUN
0 - 1
AUT
41%
23%
37%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |