Ireland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
IRL
1 - 1
FRA
39%
20%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
ESP
6 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1952 |
AUT
6 - 0
IRL
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
GER
3 - 0
IRL
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1951 |
IRL
3 - 2
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
GER
0 - 0
AUT
69%
16%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
37%
21%
41%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
AUT
1 - 2
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
YUG
4 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1952 |
SWE
3 - 1
AUT
64%
17%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |