Ireland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1951 |
NOR
2 - 3
IRL
59%
18%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
IRL
0 - 1
ARG
30%
22%
48%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
IRL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
19%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1950 |
BEL
5 - 1
IRL
57%
19%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 3
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
AUT
0 - 2
GER
61%
18%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
GER
1 - 2
TUR
82%
11%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
SVK
2 - 5
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |