Ireland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 3
IRL
77%
13%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
IRL
3 - 5
NED
46%
21%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1935 |
GER
3 - 1
IRL
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
SUI
1 - 0
IRL
57%
19%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
NED
5 - 2
IRL
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
NED
5 - 2
GER
51%
21%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1936 |
SCO
2 - 0
GER
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
GER
7 - 2
LUX
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
POL
1 - 1
GER
42%
21%
36%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |