Dominican Republic vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominican Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
DOM
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MSR
2 - 1
DOM
12%
16%
72%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
5 - 2
BRB
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 5
DOM
12%
19%
70%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
3 - 0
MSR
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
ABW
5 - 1
CYM
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 4
ABW
13%
16%
71%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABW
3 - 1
VIR
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CYM
1 - 2
ABW
33%
21%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
KNA
2 - 0
ABW
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |