Dominican Republic vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominican Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
TTO
2 - 1
DOM
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 2
HTI
19%
23%
59%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ATG
1 - 2
DOM
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 3
DOM
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 1
MTQ
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
OMA
3 - 0
HTI
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
BOL
2 - 1
HTI
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
HTI
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HTI
1 - 0
MTQ
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
HTI
0 - 1
CUB
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |