South Korea vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
1 - 2
AUS
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
2 - 0
IRQ
63%
21%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
2 - 0
UZB
58%
23%
20%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 1
KOR
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
KWT
0 - 1
KOR
26%
24%
51%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
2 - 0
UZB
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UZB
3 - 1
KSA
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
CHN
2 - 1
UZB
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
UZB
1 - 0
PRK
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
IRQ
0 - 0
UZB
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |