South Korea vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 1
KOR
46%
25%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 1
JPN
51%
25%
24%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 3
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 3
TUR
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 2
URU
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
IRN
1 - 1
URU
40%
27%
34%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
VEN
1 - 0
URU
27%
25%
48%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2002 |
SEN
3 - 3
URU
11%
21%
68%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2002 |
FRA
0 - 0
URU
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |