South Korea vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
20.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
URU
2 - 1
KOR
58%
22%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
NGA
2 - 2
KOR
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
ARG
4 - 1
KOR
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
KOR
2 - 0
GRC
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
KOR
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
NGA
2 - 2
KOR
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
GRC
2 - 1
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 1
PRK
68%
20%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 1
COL
39%
28%
32%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |