South Korea vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
MAS
0 - 1
KOR
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1975 |
KOR
4 - 0
BGD
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
KOR
3 - 1
JPN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
THA
0 - 6
KOR
28%
26%
45%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1975 |
KOR
3 - 2
MMR
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1975 |
JPN
2 - 0
MMR
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1975 |
THA
0 - 4
JPN
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
KOR
3 - 1
JPN
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
JPN
4 - 1
IDN
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1975 |
JPN
3 - 0
BGD
85%
9%
5%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |