South Korea vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
KOR
6 - 0
PHL
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
KOR
0 - 1
MAS
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
KOR
0 - 2
IRN
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1971 |
KOR
2 - 0
IRN
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1971 |
KOR
0 - 0
MMR
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
JPN
5 - 1
TWN
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1971 |
JPN
8 - 1
PHL
75%
13%
12%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1971 |
MAS
3 - 0
JPN
31%
22%
47%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1971 |
ISL
0 - 2
JPN
29%
22%
50%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1971 |
DEN
3 - 2
JPN
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |