South Korea vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
63.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
15%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2002 |
POR
0 - 1
KOR
68%
18%
14%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
1 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 0
POL
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 3
FRA
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
KOR
1 - 1
ENG
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
17%
25%
59%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRO
78%
15%
7%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
3%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
CZE
1 - 0
ITA
28%
27%
45%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 1
URU
70%
21%
10%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |