South Korea vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1996 |
KWT
2 - 0
KOR
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
KOR
4 - 2
IDN
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
UAE
1 - 1
KOR
25%
25%
51%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
CHN
2 - 3
KOR
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
KOR
4 - 1
COL
39%
31%
31%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
KSA
0 - 3
IRN
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
THA
1 - 3
IRN
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
IRN
1 - 2
IRQ
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1996 |
IRN
0 - 1
TKM
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRN
22%
24%
55%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |