South Korea vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
SWE
1 - 1
KOR
58%
23%
19%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
KOR
47%
26%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
COL
2 - 1
KOR
45%
27%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
KOR
3 - 1
GER
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
KOR
2 - 0
MDV
95%
5%
1%
|
90 | 43 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
82%
13%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2004 |
EGY
1 - 1
BGR
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 1
EGY
32%
29%
39%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
EGY
3 - 2
CMR
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
BEN
3 - 3
EGY
8%
22%
70%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | -1 |