WC Qual. Asia Final
Global 2-3
South Korea vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 0
KOR
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
2 - 0
MAS
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
0 - 1
MMR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
3 - 1
IDN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
6 - 0
KHM
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 0
KOR
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
IRN
2 - 0
AUS
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
AUS
3 - 0
IRN
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 2
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 3
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |