South Korea vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 3
KOR
2%
10%
88%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 1
BGR
51%
26%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
KOR
7 - 0
NPL
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 38 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
OMA
3 - 1
KOR
8%
15%
77%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 1
VIE
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CRC
2 - 0
CHN
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
HTI
4 - 3
CHN
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
CHN
0 - 0
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CHN
1 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |