South Korea vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1990 |
PAK
0 - 7
KOR
4%
14%
83%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
7 - 0
SGP
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
54%
27%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
53%
27%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1990 |
CHN
5 - 6
KOR
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1990 |
SGP
1 - 5
CHN
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
PAK
0 - 3
CHN
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
1 - 0
CHN
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1990 |
CHN
5 - 6
KOR
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |