East Germany vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
DDR
2 - 0
GRC
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
ROU
2 - 2
DDR
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 1
DDR
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
DDR
2 - 3
NED
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
DDR
5 - 2
SUI
79%
16%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
SUN
1 - 3
BRD
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
SUN
2 - 2
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
ROU
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
SUN
1 - 0
DDR
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |