East Germany vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
DDR
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 71 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
DDR
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
FIN
3 - 2
DDR
94%
4%
2%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1959 |
DDR
2 - 1
CSK
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 80 | 60 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1959 |
POR
3 - 2
DDR
79%
12%
9%
|
20 | 71 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
SUN
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1960 |
CSK
0 - 3
SUN
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1960 |
SUN
7 - 1
POL
51%
20%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
CHN
0 - 1
SUN
63%
18%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
HUN
0 - 1
SUN
91%
6%
3%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | +1 |