East Germany vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
DDR
40%
27%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
DDR
1 - 1
HUN
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1976 |
DDR
3 - 1
POL
60%
20%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
1 - 2
DDR
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
DDR
4 - 0
FRA
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
TUR
4 - 0
MLT
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
TUR
3 - 3
IRL
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
BGR
2 - 2
TUR
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
FIN
2 - 1
TUR
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
IRQ
0 - 0
TUR
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |