East Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
SUI
0 - 2
DDR
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
DDR
2 - 1
POL
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
HUN
3 - 0
DDR
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
BGR
1 - 0
DDR
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
IRQ
2 - 1
DDR
25%
28%
48%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
CYP
1 - 1
ROU
6%
20%
75%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
ROU
2 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
GRC
2 - 1
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |