East Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
2 - 0
POL
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
6 - 0
EGY
44%
21%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1966 |
DDR
5 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1966 |
DDR
4 - 1
SWE
27%
23%
50%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 0
AUT
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1966 |
POR
1 - 0
ROU
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
ROU
1 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1966 |
BRD
1 - 0
ROU
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ROU
2 - 0
POR
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
TUR
2 - 1
ROU
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |