East Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
DDR
2 - 2
YUG
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 87 | 51 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1962 |
DDR
4 - 1
DEN
28%
21%
52%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | +3 |
| 16 May. 1962 |
YUG
3 - 1
DDR
91%
6%
3%
|
33 | 87 | 54 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 1
DDR
79%
12%
9%
|
34 | 78 | 44 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
MAR
2 - 0
DDR
83%
10%
7%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ROU
4 - 0
MAR
53%
20%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ROU
4 - 0
TUR
46%
21%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
TUR
0 - 1
ROU
55%
20%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
CSK
3 - 0
ROU
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ROU
0 - 2
CSK
44%
24%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |