East Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
50.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1958 |
NOR
6 - 5
DDR
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
DDR
1 - 1
POL
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1958 |
ALB
1 - 1
DDR
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
DDR
1 - 4
CSK
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 80 | 64 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1957 |
WAL
4 - 1
DDR
79%
12%
9%
|
16 | 69 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
YUG
2 - 0
ROU
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
ROU
1 - 1
YUG
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
GRC
1 - 2
ROU
49%
20%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
ROU
38%
21%
41%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |