East Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
52.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
DDR
0 - 0
BGR
17%
19%
65%
|
6 | 61 | 55 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ROU
3 - 1
DDR
90%
7%
3%
|
6 | 70 | 64 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
POL
3 - 0
DDR
91%
6%
3%
|
6 | 64 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
HUN
5 - 0
DDR
94%
4%
2%
|
7 | 86 | 79 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ROU
0 - 1
CSK
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
35%
21%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
ROU
3 - 1
BGR
64%
17%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
CSK
2 - 0
ROU
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ROU
3 - 1
DDR
90%
7%
3%
|
70 | 6 | 64 | +1 |