East Germany vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
6 - 0
EGY
44%
21%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1966 |
DDR
5 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1966 |
DDR
4 - 1
SWE
27%
23%
50%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 0
AUT
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
HUN
3 - 2
DDR
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 92 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1966 |
POL
0 - 1
ENG
21%
21%
59%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
ARG
1 - 1
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 1
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 1
POL
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |