East Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
CSK
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1974 |
ALG
1 - 3
DDR
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1974 |
TUN
0 - 4
DDR
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1973 |
HUN
0 - 1
DDR
76%
15%
8%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
LUX
2 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 0
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
1 - 2
NED
37%
24%
40%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1973 |
ISL
0 - 4
NOR
47%
21%
32%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |