East Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
DDR
1 - 1
BGR
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 69 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
DDR
3 - 2
ROU
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 72 | 55 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1958 |
NOR
6 - 5
DDR
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
DDR
1 - 1
POL
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1958 |
ALB
1 - 1
DDR
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
35%
22%
43%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1958 |
NOR
6 - 5
DDR
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 17 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1958 |
NOR
0 - 0
NED
49%
21%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |