East Germany vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
34%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
1 - 1
ROU
48%
22%
30%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
4 - 0
IRN
51%
21%
28%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
DDR
4 - 1
SUN
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
SUN
1 - 1
DDR
78%
13%
9%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
DDR
1 - 1
SUN
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
IRN
1 - 1
MEX
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ROU
3 - 1
MEX
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
MEX
3 - 1
CSK
63%
19%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 0
MEX
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
85%
10%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |