East Germany vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
BGR
3 - 1
DDR
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 66 | 53 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1956 |
DDR
3 - 1
IDN
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 56 | 44 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1956 |
POL
0 - 2
DDR
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
DDR
1 - 0
BGR
18%
20%
62%
|
8 | 64 | 56 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
ROU
2 - 3
DDR
80%
11%
9%
|
7 | 70 | 63 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
AUT
7 - 0
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LUX
0 - 1
IRL
56%
19%
25%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1953 |
FRA
8 - 0
LUX
76%
13%
12%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |