East Germany vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
POL
1 - 1
DDR
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
DDR
3 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
BGR
4 - 1
DDR
58%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1968 |
DDR
2 - 2
CSK
42%
24%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1967 |
ROU
0 - 1
DDR
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
2 - 3
ITA
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
WLS
0 - 1
ITA
28%
27%
46%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1968 |
ITA
2 - 0
YUG
76%
14%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1968 |
ITA
1 - 1
YUG
76%
14%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |