East Germany vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
DDR
2 - 1
CSK
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
DDR
2 - 2
BGR
71%
19%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 0
BEL
69%
21%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 1
SWE
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
DDR
3 - 1
SUI
79%
15%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
NED
3 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 2
POL
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 0
USA
42%
22%
36%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 0
DEN
21%
21%
58%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
NIR
2 - 0
ISL
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |