East Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
AUT
1 - 1
DDR
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
URU
0 - 2
DDR
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
3 - 1
EGY
53%
21%
26%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 1964 |
CSK
2 - 1
DDR
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
YUG
0 - 1
DDR
91%
6%
3%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1965 |
ENG
1 - 0
HUN
48%
21%
31%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 1
YUG
78%
13%
9%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 1
CSK
84%
10%
6%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1964 |
HUN
6 - 0
EGY
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 0
ROU
90%
7%
4%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |