East Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 1
DDR
84%
10%
7%
|
34 | 78 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 1
NED
21%
19%
60%
|
33 | 72 | 39 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
HUN
2 - 0
DDR
92%
6%
3%
|
33 | 91 | 58 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
MAR
2 - 3
DDR
80%
11%
9%
|
31 | 70 | 39 | +2 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1961 |
HUN
1 - 2
AUT
88%
8%
4%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
HUN
3 - 2
WAL
93%
5%
2%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 4
HUN
34%
21%
45%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
NED
0 - 3
HUN
14%
17%
69%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
HUN
2 - 0
DDR
92%
6%
3%
|
91 | 33 | 58 | 0 |