East Germany vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1969 |
DDR
2 - 2
ITA
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
POL
1 - 1
DDR
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
DDR
3 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
BGR
4 - 1
DDR
58%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1968 |
DDR
2 - 2
CSK
42%
24%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1969 |
BRD
1 - 1
WAL
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
WAL
0 - 1
ITA
28%
27%
46%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1968 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRD
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
SCO
3 - 2
WAL
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |