East Germany vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
DDR
2 - 0
ISL
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
NOR
0 - 0
DDR
32%
29%
40%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
DDR
0 - 1
DEN
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1986 |
FIN
1 - 0
DDR
26%
28%
46%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 0
DDR
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 2
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
ISL
0 - 0
FRA
17%
27%
56%
|
91 | 56 | 35 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1986 |
SUI
2 - 0
FRA
24%
28%
47%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1986 |
FRA
4 - 2
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 2
BRD
49%
23%
28%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |