East Germany vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
DDR
3 - 2
USA
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1990 |
KWT
1 - 2
DDR
23%
29%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1990 |
FRA
3 - 0
DDR
60%
24%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
AUT
3 - 0
DDR
47%
27%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1989 |
MLT
0 - 4
DDR
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
CSK
0 - 1
EGY
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
EGY
1 - 3
ROU
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
2 - 0
EGY
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
35%
30%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
CIV
3 - 1
EGY
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |