East Germany vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
DDR
4 - 0
GHA
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1972 |
DDR
0 - 0
URU
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
DDR
1 - 0
URU
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
YUG
0 - 0
DDR
17%
20%
64%
|
83 | 31 | 52 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
DDR
2 - 0
YUG
88%
9%
4%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
POL
5 - 1
COL
83%
11%
7%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1972 |
ARG
4 - 1
COL
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
FRA
3 - 2
COL
80%
12%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1972 |
PER
0 - 0
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1972 |
VEN
2 - 1
COL
68%
17%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |