East Germany vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
AUT
0 - 2
DDR
5%
13%
82%
|
87 | 31 | 56 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
CSK
1 - 1
DDR
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1975 |
DDR
1 - 0
AUT
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 30 | 57 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
DDR
2 - 1
FRA
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 2
DDR
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
FRA
2 - 2
CSK
44%
28%
28%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
CSK
2 - 2
SUN
61%
22%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
AUT
0 - 0
CSK
6%
17%
76%
|
87 | 30 | 57 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
CYP
0 - 3
CSK
28%
28%
45%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
CSK
1 - 1
DDR
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |