East Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1989 |
DDR
1 - 1
AUT
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
SUN
3 - 0
DDR
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
DDR
0 - 2
TUR
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
DDR
1 - 1
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
GRC
3 - 2
DDR
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1989 |
ROU
1 - 0
BGR
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
BGR
0 - 2
DEN
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
BGR
1 - 2
BRD
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
BGR
1 - 2
SUN
28%
29%
44%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1988 |
SRB
0 - 1
BGR
16%
25%
60%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |