East Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
SCO
0 - 0
DDR
49%
26%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
YUG
1 - 2
DDR
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
DDR
2 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
27%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1985 |
NOR
0 - 1
DDR
25%
28%
47%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
DDR
3 - 1
LUX
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 36 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
GRC
0 - 2
BGR
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
LUX
1 - 3
BGR
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
NED
1 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
BGR
2 - 1
YUG
34%
26%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |