East Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
DDR
1 - 2
BEL
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
DDR
3 - 1
FIN
85%
12%
4%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
DDR
2 - 1
GRC
83%
13%
4%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1983 |
TUN
0 - 2
DDR
22%
28%
50%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
DDR
4 - 1
ROU
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
POL
3 - 1
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1983 |
BGR
1 - 1
SUI
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1982 |
MLT
0 - 0
BGR
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
BGR
0 - 1
YUG
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1982 |
BGR
2 - 2
NOR
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |