East Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 0
BEL
69%
21%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 1
SWE
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
DDR
3 - 1
SUI
79%
15%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
TUR
1 - 2
DDR
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
DDR
9 - 0
MLT
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1978 |
BGR
1 - 1
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1978 |
ROU
2 - 0
BGR
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
POL
1 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CSK
0 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
MEX
3 - 0
BGR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |