East Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
65%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ROU
3 - 1
DDR
90%
7%
3%
|
6 | 70 | 64 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
POL
3 - 0
DDR
91%
6%
3%
|
6 | 64 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
HUN
5 - 0
DDR
94%
4%
2%
|
7 | 86 | 79 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
16%
18%
65%
|
62 | 13 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
POL
0 - 1
BGR
66%
17%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
BGR
1 - 1
HUN
24%
20%
56%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1950 |
BGR
0 - 1
POL
54%
20%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1950 |
BGR
1 - 2
CSK
27%
19%
54%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |