East Germany vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1974 |
ALG
1 - 3
DDR
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1974 |
TUN
0 - 4
DDR
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1973 |
HUN
0 - 1
DDR
76%
15%
8%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 4
DDR
25%
27%
49%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
DDR
1 - 0
SUN
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
NED
0 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 0
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
BEL
3 - 0
DDR
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
BEL
0 - 0
NED
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
NOR
0 - 2
BEL
24%
22%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |