East Germany vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 1
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
CSK
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1974 |
ALG
1 - 3
DDR
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1974 |
ISR
2 - 1
AUS
44%
22%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1974 |
IDN
1 - 2
AUS
35%
23%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
AUS
2 - 0
URU
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1974 |
AUS
0 - 0
URU
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 0
KOR
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |