East Germany vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
CHI
1 - 1
DDR
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
DDR
2 - 0
AUS
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 1
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
CSK
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
AUS
0 - 3
BRD
41%
25%
34%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
BRD
1 - 0
CHI
84%
10%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BRD
5 - 0
HUN
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
BRD
2 - 1
FRA
82%
12%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
BRD
4 - 0
AUT
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |