Olympic Games Qualification Final
Global 5-0
East Germany vs Italy U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1971 |
DDR
2 - 1
LUX
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1971 |
URU
1 - 1
DDR
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1971 |
URU
0 - 3
DDR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1971 |
CHI
0 - 1
DDR
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1970 |
ENG
3 - 1
DDR
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |