East Germany vs France U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1976 |
DDR
1 - 0
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
0 - 0
DDR
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1976 |
DDR
5 - 0
ALG
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
DDR
0 - 0
CSK
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
AUT
0 - 2
DDR
5%
13%
82%
|
86 | 32 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
France U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
1 - 1
ISR
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 1
GTM
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
ROU
1 - 0
FRA
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 2
NED
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |