Catar vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
QAT
5 - 0
LKA
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LKA
0 - 1
QAT
11%
21%
68%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
QAT
3 - 2
IRQ
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 1
OMA
44%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 2
UAE
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
GEO
2 - 0
SCO
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
GEO
76%
18%
6%
|
76 | 97 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 1
GEO
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GEO
1 - 1
UKR
33%
30%
37%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 0
GEO
14%
20%
67%
|
76 | 32 | 44 | 0 |